探索与争鸣 ›› 2022, Vol. 1 ›› Issue (8): 119-128.

• 社会与文明 • 上一篇    下一篇

“离婚冷静期”政策能否降低离婚水平

宋健,李灵春   

  • 出版日期:2022-08-24 发布日期:2022-08-24

Can the “Divorce Cooling-Off Period” Policy Reduce the Divorce Rate

  • Online:2022-08-24 Published:2022-08-24

摘要:

21世纪以来,我国离婚率不断攀升引起广泛关注,2021年“离婚冷静期”政策的实施更是引发诸多争议,但既有研究较少对政策实施与离婚水平的关系开展实证分析。梳理国内外政策可以发现,对离婚时间进行约束性规定,提高离婚门槛,增加离婚成本,以此减少冲动离婚,是国际上很多国家和地区的普遍做法。我国曾在1993—2002年实施了离婚审查期制度。比较我国不同政策阶段的离婚水平变化可以发现,离婚时间约束性政策缺位时,协议离婚水平迅速升高、潜在离婚需求得以释放、轻率离婚大量增加,助推了离婚水平的整体上升;而离婚时间约束性政策在位时,离婚水平则相对平稳。这些变化显示出离婚时间约束性政策与离婚水平存在显著的相关性。

关键词: 离婚冷静期, 离婚时间约束性政策, 离婚水平, 实证分析

Abstract:

Since the beginning of the new century, the rising divorce rate in China has attracted widespread attention, the implementation of the divorce cooling-off period policy in 2021 has aroused much controversy. Few studies have conducted empirical analysis on the relationship between policy implementation and divorce level. Through reviewing domestic and foreign policies, we find that it is a common practice in many countries and regions to reduce impulsive divorce by setting a binding time for divorce, raising the threshold and increasing the cost of divorce. China implemented the divorce review period system from 1993 to 2002. By comparing the changes of divorce levels in different policy stages in China, it is found that when the time restriction policy is absent, the level of divorce by agreement increases rapidly, the potential demand for divorce is released, and the rash divorce increases greatly, which promotes the overall increase of divorce level. However, the divorce level was relatively stable when the divorce time restriction policy was in office, indicating that there was a significant correlation between the policy and the divorce level.


Key words: divorce cooling-off period, divorce time restriction policy, divorce level, empirical analysis